Blade Types Information Guide

Harry Potter And The Prisoner Of Azkaban: Behind The Scenes (2004)

09/08/17

Heres the thing you gotta understand about statistics. 

“Increases your chances by 80%” does not mean “there is now an 80% chance”. 

If your chances were previously 10%, your chances are now 18%, not 90%. 

if your chances were roughly 1%, they’re now just slightly less than 2%. 

thats how that works. 

Wow I don’t understand math at all

‘if you have a baby after 35, the chance of deformities goes up by 100%’ is a line I hear alot.

It goes up from .5% to 1%

I think my brain just stopped working

100% is just another way of saying twice more likely. So 100% more basically means multiply the number you do have by 2.

Imagine how many woman are scared to have kids because of that statistic

This is why I took stats instead of calc. Because I don’t build engineer bridges in my everyday life but I sure do read studies that affect how I might live my life if I misinterpret them.

I’m terrible at numbers and math but I knew this and I really take it for granted. The average person definitely assumes, quite understandably, that “600% INCREASE!!!” must always mean a whole lot even if it literally only means that one of something is now six of something. Politicians probably take a shitload of advantage of this confusion.

just remember that increased BY and increased TO are very different things.

Oh god I didn’t even think about that whole other layer of confusion. Yeah if you’ve got 100 people and one of them is sick, that’s 1% of them who are sick, so if it “increased BY 100%” then that means now two people are sick. If it’s “increased TO 100%” then all 100 people are sick.

Reblogging again for that last addition.

I’ve got no clue, but if they cut his hair they need to stop.

Hope he didn't pay her to much. Why can't you stop laughing?

At his hair. It’s sad but it’s funny.

He so meticulous with his appearance that it's definitely jarring and easily fixed, actually.

The Next Morning

AN: Short and sweet, just to move it along x

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Oh baby. Once again I was never into.tattoos, I just want a but something about his tattooed arms and stomach, Holy fuck, they just accent how masculine and solid and strong his arms are and I find that insanely sexy. Em, what are you doing to me? Just taking everything I wasn’t attracted to and flipping it on its end and making those things insanely facking hot and sexy, and now I want them. Damn ruiner

Hehe, i love you!! But, yeah he looks too damn good and needs to stop it

I love you too, sweetheart!!!!!!!! 🥰Seriously someone needs to tell him to stop looking so damn sexy, hot, and not just hot supermegafoxyawesome hot!!!!!!! And just totally like I want to haul him off to my bedroom and have my wicked way with him. Is that too much to ask????!!!! I mean, seriously, if he’s going to go around looking that sexy and cozy and warm and masculine and virile, it’s a natural consequence!

Exactly..he can’t just walk around looking like this - it’s not fair!! 

I need a new music video/appearance ASAP!!!!!

Hells yeah, me too!!!!!!!!

need a girl to ride my thigh so fucking bad, need to hold her face in my hand and watch her blush when i call her my pretty little slut, need to feel her make a mess on my skin and tease her for how wet she is, need to make her hide in the crook of my neck because she’s so embarrassed about what she’s doing, need to hold a wand right where she needs it and feel her shake and squeeze her legs around my thigh when she can’t handle it anymore, need to make her fall apart over and over again

men dni with this post, minors dni with this blog

@madaboutmathers totally Shady!!!!!!

God , yes please ---- and some public fun there. Studio fun, oopsie 

Oh yes, please. I can totally picture studio shenanigans!!!!!!

Hades and Poseidon

little things you can start doing today

does anyone have that unsettling oil painting of a dark window with a sheet leading out into the darkness? it did the rounds on tumblr a while ago and i need itttt

YES THANK YOU

Dragan Bibin, Dead of Night

@lee-and-other-things​

i don’t… see a dog???  👀

I can’t unsee the dog now that I can see it

Having rewatched Pirates of the Carribean several times, I have noticed something interesting. Will Turner is often the only survivor of massive shipwrecks, like the one that killed his mother or the one with the kraken. Other times even when hes alone he survives drowning in ways he really has no right to, like the destruction of the Interceptor. He just often conveniently finds a perfect sized piece of driftwood or something. Remember what Calypso said? About him having a “touch of destiny?” I think that the sea could never kill him, will always cradle him and protect him, because all along he was destined to be the captain of the Flying Dutchman. The sea could no more kill him than a human could cut off their own arm.

#gonna mentally pair this with that post about how elizabeth heralds death #every man she kisses shortly afterwards dies at sea #and she sees the ghostly black pearl as a girl when no one else does #and at the start of the story elizabeth - the sea's own psychopomp - sees will floating past and sounds the alarm to save him #and she falls in love with the one man the sea will never kill (@aethersea​)