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Unfriendly Black Hottie

@afrotunada / afrotunada.tumblr.com

[29 | Bisexual | She/Her] call me faye. feminist, black, multifandom, and trying. previously fortuna-le-faye
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Heres the thing you gotta understand about statistics. 

“Increases your chances by 80%” does not mean “there is now an 80% chance”. 

If your chances were previously 10%, your chances are now 18%, not 90%. 

if your chances were roughly 1%, they’re now just slightly less than 2%. 

thats how that works. 

Wow I don’t understand math at all

‘if you have a baby after 35, the chance of deformities goes up by 100%’ is a line I hear alot.

It goes up from .5% to 1%

I think my brain just stopped working

100% is just another way of saying twice more likely. So 100% more basically means multiply the number you do have by 2.

Imagine how many woman are scared to have kids because of that statistic

This is why I took stats instead of calc. Because I don’t build engineer bridges in my everyday life but I sure do read studies that affect how I might live my life if I misinterpret them.

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bogleech

I’m terrible at numbers and math but I knew this and I really take it for granted. The average person definitely assumes, quite understandably, that “600% INCREASE!!!” must always mean a whole lot even if it literally only means that one of something is now six of something. Politicians probably take a shitload of advantage of this confusion.

just remember that increased BY and increased TO are very different things.

Oh god I didn’t even think about that whole other layer of confusion. Yeah if you’ve got 100 people and one of them is sick, that’s 1% of them who are sick, so if it “increased BY 100%” then that means now two people are sick. If it’s “increased TO 100%” then all 100 people are sick.

Reblogging again for that last addition.

Don’t worry, this is a common area of confusion with my students:

Increased BY X% => multiply the initial thing by X/100 for number of affected

  • increased by 20% means multiply the thing by 0.20
  • increased by 300% means multiply the thing by 3.00
  • increased BY is the process of the thing being changed
  • thing example: tree, student

Increased TO X% => multiply the total of the thing’s group by X/100 for number of affected

  • increased to 20% means multiply the total group by 0.2
  • increased to 300% means multiply the total group by 3.00
  • increased TO is the end destination of the thing’s group being changed
  • thing group example: forest, classroom
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reblogged
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asterkallium

piplup grain entrapment

piplup cares a lot about his work

piplup reports on the company's finances. layoffs are inevitable.

piplup takes a sick day

piplup considers some jorts

piplup forgives his father.

piplup goes grocery shopping

piplup jumps your battery

piplup lights the menorah

piplup sees the pale blue dot

piplup catsits

piplup hides a zombie bite from you

piplup studies plein air

piplup goes overboard at shopping therapy

piplup tells you it's a fiction. we made it up.

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Mods? Take him to the stump of his favorite childhood tree.

Mods, make him busy during a friends planned trip so he misses out on the new inside joke.

Mods… change the smell of his parents house.

look boss, our quarterly "subjection to the brutalities of the Absurd" budget is almost blown already. can we not just shoot this one twice in the back of the head and call it a day?

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