49,830 votes later...
0. Demographics
The numbers are going to be doubly skewed by sampling bias. The polls came from my blog (a trans woman) and this poll in particular gaining 35% of the overall votes. So, bear this in mind when looking at any of this. It's heuristical analysis.
1. Exploratory analysis
The polls were run to investigate the stigma against ""egg cracking""; encouraging people to transition into trans women. This was done with sixteen polls which are identical other than four binary variables being changed:
- Relevance: Whether the poll respondant's identity aligns with the suggestion being made.
- Attribute: Whether the suggested identity is a change in gender or a change in in sexuality.
- Gender: Whether the friend in question currently identifies as male or female.
- Severity: (Slightly more abstract) Whether the suggested identity is the """opposite""" of their current identity. So, hetero- to homo- or cis- to trans-, rather than hetero- to bi- or cis- to nonbinary.
The overall result is 69% (nice) of responses are in favour of suggesting an identity to a friend, shown here broken down into the four slices.
While gender is fairly even, there is a stark contrast with each of the other factors. Members of an identity find it far more acceptable to suggest a friend shares their identity, and suggesting a change in sexuality is far more acceptable than a change in gender.
2. Regression Analysis
Using the data, it is possible to calculate a linear regression model to find an expected result for each poll based on the results of the other fifteen. Any residual differences between the observed and expected results are down to additional factors (and errors).
Three outliers stand out on each end.
- Gay and trans men are far less likely to suggest a friend identifies the same as them.
- Non-trans women are less likely to suggest that a friend identifies as such.
- Lesbians and trans women are far more likely to suggest a friend identifies the same as them.
- Non-trans men are more likely to suggest a friend identifies as such.
The data is limited, but it definitely seems that for whatever reason (we can only speculate) queer men are far more reluctant to suggest a friend shares their identity than queer women are. And also, trans women love to crack eggs even if everyone else doesn't for whatever reason (transmisogyny).
